Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.181333 0.209262 0.241660 0.282407 0.332843 0.393968 0.474819
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.149587 0.187729 0.237445 0.308814 0.411858 0.560774 0.803691
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.125421 0.167335 0.226965 0.322055 0.478523 0.744288 1.280588
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.106834 0.149181 0.213574 0.325223 0.530287 0.933219 1.938130
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.092055 0.133055 0.198681 0.320331 0.565256 1.113060 2.794200
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.083438 0.124567 0.193697 0.330536 0.633232 1.412769 4.486790
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.074134 0.113263 0.181399 0.323006 0.659822 1.633055 6.455187
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.068177 0.106613 0.175996 0.327710 0.717925 2.003394 10.536154
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.062302 0.099228 0.167820 0.324131 0.753448 2.342120 16.520923
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.058453 0.094937 0.164833 0.331514 0.824717 2.923316 31.322824
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.055555 0.091995 0.163993 0.343841 0.919588 3.787771 73.369056
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052296 0.087952 0.160180 0.347629 0.989290 4.678938 184.165855
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049627 0.084824 0.158019 0.355917 1.085434 6.057748 812.004221
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047136 0.081780 0.155608 0.363126 1.185737 7.899142 13298.979321
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044755 0.078699 0.152650 0.368085 1.283069 10.271366 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042291 0.075190 0.148186 0.367310 1.355040 12.890823 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.039722 0.071216 0.142077 0.359780 1.388470 15.303917 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038338 0.069634 0.141598 0.370958 1.541121 22.090424 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036130 0.066063 0.135681 0.361892 1.564821 26.211312 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.034752 0.064201 0.133892 0.367248 1.692838 37.215968 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.033090 0.061565 0.129773 0.363036 1.752656 47.884631 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.032059 0.060264 0.129024 0.371609 1.924624 76.193096 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.031297 0.059507 0.129643 0.385965 2.171533 144.510233 NaN